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Quantitative Risk Assessment of Natural Gas Distribution in | 61034

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Quantitative Risk Assessment of Natural Gas Distribution in Pipeline Networks in Urban Areas

Fulgence V. Makonelah

Natural gas is considered as clean and efficient fossil energy and its consumption is increasing worldwide. Pipelines are widely used as the most economical means of transporting and distributing natural gas over short distances. The distribution pipelines are usually pressurized, and they may become disas­trous when gas is accidentally released to the atmosphere. Also, natural gas is volatile and highly flammable, unintentional gas release in urban areas can lead to severe consequences and loss­es in society. Therefore, it is important to assess the risk of nat­ural gas pipeline in urban areas. In this paper analysis of risks in different parts of the Dar es salaam Natural gas distribution network is conducted. Newton’s nodal method was used to an­alyze the network and an integrated quantitative risk analysis method used to estimate incident losses. The results obtained are useful in understanding the risks, decisions making and taking measures towards ensuring the safety of Dar es salaam natural gas distribution pipeline

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